ALGORITH.US
Every MLB pick, built entirely from data.
MLB
OCT 5/2026
updated Oct 4, 2026 · 23:18 UTC
2games
0locks
0strong
2upset flags
Fool to bet against

Bank These

The signals all point the same way. Pencil them in.

No clean locks this week — even the chalk has a flaw. Play the favorites straight.

Where the crowd is wrong

Break From the Pack

Every family of signals fires. Take the dog to separate your card from the pool.

No underdog cleared the break-away threshold. Chalk is the smart card this week.

Should-Win

The favorite in every game, ranked by conviction. The bar is confidence; chips show why. Bank it = safe enough to pencil in.

01
CHWCHW@CLECLEO/U 6.5
home favorite
your pick
CLECLESOLIDML -157
02
NYYNYY@TBTBO/U 6.5
road favorite
your pick
NYYNYYLEANML -131

Upset Radar

Underdogs the model backs against the grain — ranked by signal strength. This is the edge over your pool.

How a dog scores
Situationalhome dog +2thin line ≤3 +2road fav +1dog hotter +2coin-flip +1
Efficiency · EPAdog more efficient +3fav record > EPA (crash) +2dog due to bounce +1
8+ break from the pack   5–7 live dog   3–4 long shot
7signal
TBTBoverNYYNYYLIVE DOG
HOME dogthin line (ML -131)fav on the roaddog hotter (98-win vs NYY 93-win)
3signal
CHWCHWoverCLECLELONG SHOT
EPA says dog is BETTER (+0.0691 vs +0.0135/play) — mispriced

Late-Window Tiebreaker

Closest guess to the combined final total wins a tie. Pick a number.

NYYNYY@TBTB
6.5combined total